Gatekeeper holds key to Derby

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Gatekeeper holds key to Derby

BEST BET CLOUDS UNFOLD

Jack Milner: The Cape Summer Season comes to a cracking conclusion at Kenilworth on Saturday with the running of eight features, headed up by the Grade 1 Jonsson Workwear Cape Derby over 2000m.

There are also two interesting carryovers at the meeting with R250,000 kicking off both the Jackpot One and Race 7 (Cape Derby) Quartet with the pools likely to reach R750,000 and R500,000 respectively.

Some of the gilt came off the Derby onday with the scratching of favourite Kommetdieding, the rags-to-riches tale of the Cape season, owing to an injury.

As a result, Justin Snaith could add another Grade 1 race to his already impressive tally as he sends out The Gatekeeper. This full brother to Legislate has already displayed some ability as he has raced six times for two wins and two seconds.

However, it was his run in the Grade 1 Cape Guineas that grabs the attention. Drawn No 12 of the 14 runners, The Gatekeeper landed up at the back of the pack and turned for home with the whole field to get past. At the 400m mark he was still 13th and 7.20 lengths off the leaders.

However, he finally got going, producing by far the fastest last 400m but had too much to do and finished fifth, 2.05 lengths behind winner Russian Rock. There is little doubt he will enjoy the extra 400m – and this time he jumps from No 5 draw, which will make life far easier for jockey Richard Fourie.  

If he can reproduce that sort of form, he will be hard to beat.

After that there is very little to choose between Russian Rock, Rascallion and Linebacker, although the latter will have to overcome No 12 draw.

The way to play this Quartet is to float The Gatekeeper with the other three, and also add Legitimate and Hoedspruit.     

Kasimir disappointed in the Grade 1 Cape Flying Championship last time when unplaced behind Run Fox Run but he could put that run behind him the Grade 2 Khaya Stables Diadem Stakes over 1200m.

He won this race last year and is undoubtedly a better horse over 1200m. He was beaten one length by Rio Querari in a Pinnacle Stakes over 1000m in December but Kasimir is now 3.5kg better off.

Rio Querari is the obvious threat and they should fight this out, although one could make a case for Russet Air if he can regain his best form.

Whatever his fate, Candice Bass-Robinson should be in the No 1 box after the running of the Grade 3 Prix Du Cap for fillies and mares over 1400m as this race looks at the mercy of Clouds Unfold.

She is the best handicapped runner, finished well in front of many of her opposition in the Grade 1 Majorca Stakes over 1600m and is reasonably drawn at No 7. Aldo Domeyer knows her well and this filly looks the standout bet on the card.

The meeting ends with a fascinating encounter between the jockeys and work riders and it will be interesting to see how they match up. On paper, a couple of the work riders appear to have the better rides, but will the wiles of the jockeys give them the advantage?

It’s a great initiative and is a thought-provoking way to bring down the curtain on a difficult season for all.

Jack Milner’s selections

Race 1: 1 Ambiorix, 2 Barzalona, 4 Danilo Danilovitch, 3 Cosmic Highway
Race 2: 1 Gimme Dat, 6 Winter Mosaic, 3 Live My Life, 5 Super Siri
Race 3: 1 Strathdon, 4 Troop The Colour, 2 Bayberry, 3 Dharma
Race 4: 9 Sing Out Loud, 11 Captain Flinders, 4 African Night Sky, 2 Doublemint
Race 5: 1 Clouds Unfold, 9 Capitana, 10 Zarina, 13 La Quinta
Race 6: 2 Kasimir, 3 Rio Querari, 1 Russet Air, 4 Bold Respect
Race 7: 5 The Gatekeeper, 2 Russian Rock, 4 Rascallion, 3 Linebacker
Race 8: 13 Mounia, 10 Homely Girl, 15 Take Control, 2 Edgartown
Race 9: 2 Wordsworth, 7 Megxit, 12 Queen Niyabah, 1 Picture The Moment

 

BEST BET

Race 5 No 1 Clouds Unfold

VALUE BET

Race 8 No 13 Mounia

BEST SWINGER

Race 6 2×5

 

BIPOT

R240

Leg 1: 1, 3, 6

Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5

Leg 3: 2, 4, 9, 11

Leg 4: 1

Leg 5: 2, 3 

Leg 6: 2, 5

 

PLACE ACCUMULATOR

R320

Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg 2: 2, 4, 9, 11

Leg 3: 1

Leg 4: 2

Leg 5: 5

Leg 6: 2, 10 13, 15

Leg 7: 1, 2, 7, 12, 14

 

PICK 6

R1680

Leg 1: 2, 3, 4, 9, 11

Leg 2: 1

Leg 3: 1, 2, 3

Leg 4: 2, 5

Leg 5:  2, 5, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15

Leg 6: 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 12, 14

 

JACKPOT 1

R42

Leg 1: 1

Leg 2: 1, 2, 3

Leg 3: 2, 5

Leg 4:  2, 5, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15

 

JACKPOT 2

R336

Leg 1: 1, 2, 3

Leg 2: 2, 5

Leg 3:  2, 5, 9, 10, 12, 13, 15

Leg 4: 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 12, 14

 

 

 

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