Shavout looks ready to win

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Shavout looks ready to win

MARCO VAN RENSBURG

Jack Milner: The numbers point to Shavout finally being able to notch up his second career victory when he runs in Race 4 at Hollywoodbets Scottsville on Sunday.

In his last four starts the MJ Odendaal-trained has finished third, third, second and second – in that order. Following the arithmetic progression, that means he should lead the field home when he contests this MR 86 Handicap over 1950m.

But mathematics aside, Shavout does have the form to win a race of this nature. He was strongly fancied to win his last start over 1800m on the turf at Greyville but overraced from the off, ended up in front and was caught late.

There are two other items in his favour. Firstly, this will be his third run after a layoff and secondly, the four-year-old Elusive Fort gelding takes a large drop in class. The average merit rating in his last race was 84, this time it is 71.

As one so often discovers on a Scottsville card, finding bankers is not easy and Shavout, who will be ridden by Marco van Rensburg, could fill that role.   

Bettors can get off to a good start with Ancient Epic who stands out in Race 1, a Maiden Plate for fillies and mares over 1000m.

The Vercingetorix filly turned in two promising efforts, one on the Polytrack at Greyville and then one at this venue on the turf. But in her third run she was not happy and played up at the start.

She is best forgiven that run and now having drawn in pole position she should make them all run.

 

Jack Milner’s selections

Race 1: 1 Ancient Epic, 11 Namaqua Dove, 7 Leopard Lady, 3 Mezzyoona

Race 2: 3 The Brief, 2 Master Keeku, 8 Proud Master, 11 Forest Phoenix

Race 3: 2 Geronimo, 1 Venerable, 8 Napoleon, 11 Lake Como

Race 4: 3 Shavout, 8 Time Taker, 1 Savannah Buddy, 6 Querari’s Cowboy

Race 5: 3 The Bayou, 5 Love The View, 6 African Skyline, 1 Teichman

Race 6: 10 Humdinger, 1 Maidens Prayer, 7 Umkhomazi, 2 Tango Time

Race 7: 10 Sav’s Star, 2 Danse Milord, 4 Kitten’s Adventure, 5 Diamonds ‘N Dust

Race 8: 13 So Var, 8 Who’s That Star, 11 Purple And Green, 10 Camora

 

BEST BET

Race 4 No 3 Shavout

VALUE BET

Race 6 No 10 Humdinger

BEST SWINGER

Race 4 3×8

 

BIPOT

R324

Leg 1: 1, 7, 11

Leg 2: 2, 3, 8, 11

Leg 3: 1, 2, 8

Leg 4: 3

Leg 5: 3, 5, 6

Leg 6: 1, 7, 10

 

PLACE ACCUMULATOR

R432

Leg 1: 2, 3, 8

Leg 2: 1, 2

Leg 3: 3

Leg 4: 3, 5, 6

Leg 5: 1, 10

Leg 6: 2, 4, 10

Leg 7: 8, 10, 11, 13

 

PICK 6

R1500

Leg 1: 1, 2, 8, 11, 13

Leg 2: 3

Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 

Leg 4: 1, 2, 7, 10

Leg 5: 2, 4, 10

Leg 6: 8, 7, 10, 11, 13

 

JACKPOT 1

R60

Leg 1: 3

Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 

Leg 3: 1, 2, 7, 10

Leg 4: 2, 4, 10

 

JACKPOT 2

R300

Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6 

Leg 2: 1, 2, 7, 10

Leg 3: 2, 4, 10

Leg 4: 8, 7, 10, 11, 13

 

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